{
  "n_draws": 20000,
  "design_B": {
    "n_domains": 100.0,
    "authority_cap_mw": 500.0,
    "envelope_frac": 0.3,
    "ramp_limit_frac_per_min": 0.2
  },
  "note": "All risks are fleet-level annual probabilities of a wide-area event (UFLS or worse) summed over the control-plane channel (n domains, with common-cause share β) and the vendor channel (all firmware lines). Certification p-reduction applied to all configurations.",
  "medians": {
    "A": {
      "total": 0.006566126369352165,
      "p90": 0.029581179234741677,
      "plane": 0.003150187525699455,
      "vendor": 0.0029320991557626463,
      "expected_mw": 109.15928638969092
    },
    "Aplus": {
      "total": 0.002409039978567118,
      "p90": 0.011934707433862305,
      "plane": 0.001302470103898501,
      "vendor": 0.0008986547895012409,
      "expected_mw": 38.88664718188758
    },
    "B": {
      "total": 0.0031931399321113996,
      "p90": 0.018498993930553254,
      "plane": 0.00018945924126487543,
      "vendor": 0.0029320991557626463,
      "expected_mw": 51.804972476351395
    },
    "Bfull": {
      "total": 0.0006975546355881823,
      "p90": 0.007414408076358949,
      "plane": 0.00018945924126487543,
      "vendor": 0.00036306406072017516,
      "expected_mw": 34.864755775502516
    }
  },
  "plane_channel_only": {
    "B_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 1.0,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.6477,
      "median_ratio": 14.463458749185964
    },
    "Bfull_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 1.0,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.6477,
      "median_ratio": 14.463458749185964
    },
    "Aplus_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 0.9574,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0,
      "median_ratio": 2.461528379167179
    }
  },
  "total": {
    "B_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 1.0,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0485,
      "median_ratio": 1.8225157783326233
    },
    "Bfull_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 0.99485,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.4648,
      "median_ratio": 8.907779392091449
    },
    "Aplus_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 0.99355,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0,
      "median_ratio": 2.7480324134999305
    },
    "Bfull_vs_Aplus": {
      "share_lower": 0.8306,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.2436,
      "median_ratio": 3.3133069585372024
    },
    "B_vs_Aplus": {
      "share_lower": 0.3303,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0157,
      "median_ratio": 0.731818512396698
    }
  },
  "expected_mw": {
    "B_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 1.0,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0,
      "median_ratio": 2.0646035391250908
    },
    "Bfull_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 1.0,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 5e-05,
      "median_ratio": 2.9758104449624296
    },
    "Aplus_vs_A": {
      "share_lower": 0.9985,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0,
      "median_ratio": 2.810133903070146
    },
    "Bfull_vs_Aplus": {
      "share_lower": 0.60075,
      "share_lower_by_10x": 0.0,
      "median_ratio": 1.122574281030937
    }
  },
  "x": {
    "A": {
      "domain_median": 15.746866840748353,
      "domain_share_above_1": 0.9997,
      "vendor_median": 5.2837162436445375,
      "vendor_share_above_1": 0.9613
    },
    "Aplus": {
      "domain_median": 0.5932148412660012,
      "domain_share_above_1": 0.1895,
      "vendor_median": 5.2837162436445375,
      "vendor_share_above_1": 0.9613
    },
    "B": {
      "domain_median": 0.02344783732457222,
      "domain_share_above_1": 0.0,
      "vendor_median": 5.2837162436445375,
      "vendor_share_above_1": 0.9613
    },
    "Bfull": {
      "domain_median": 0.02344783732457222,
      "domain_share_above_1": 0.0,
      "vendor_median": 0.6761006373630198,
      "vendor_share_above_1": 0.31885
    }
  },
  "when_Bfull_loses_to_Aplus": {
    "count": 3388,
    "median_p_vendor_rel": 0.332533630429522,
    "median_p_backend_rel": 0.23980045113748052,
    "median_domain_beta": 0.11767343860593608,
    "median_server_cap_mw": 1427.242456130556,
    "median_n_devices": 14501740.682195447,
    "median_severity_k": 2.9640985488549054,
    "note": "Bfull loses when the vendor channel is relatively likely (p_vendor_rel high) and/or the server-side cap is small and hard to bypass (p_backend_rel low), or the fleet is small relative to the grid"
  }
}